let's start with you, ron. you just had a new poll come out. >> let me try to take what you said and put in a broader framework. to do the lasty 40 years of presidential politics. if you think about 1968-1980, republicans won the white house five out of six times. in the '80s, we talked about the republican lock on the electrical college. if you look for 1992-2012, if obama wins, it democrats will have won it five out of the six elections. i think you can look at this as a state era appeared only two things have changed. the first is the changing composition. in 1994 when reagan won, 65% of the college votes were non- white. 20's or more college educated white. . the college white share has kicked up. you are projecting that it will slip even further. share ofake reagan's the vote and projected them on the actual elector in 2008, in his vote goes down to 59. the second thing that changes the class and version. the democrats did better among non-college than college whites. that began to change in the 70's. the